Slow down in housing market: Can it predict the end of the next U.S. recession?

27 September 20220Comments

Slow down in housing market: Can it predict the end of the next U.S. recession?

Composite Cycles Model on New Home Sales indicates possible end for U.S. recession as early as summer 2024 New Home Sales - also known as "New Residental Sales" - is an

by Mike Richards

Bonds & Yields

Daily

Trading Vision

13 August 20220Comments

Can We Use Net Liquidity to Predict The Market?

A a metric based on a calculation of Net Liquidity suggests that the SPX is now over 300 Points "Over Valued" which represents the largest deviation seen at any time

by Mike Richards

Trading Vision

11 August 20220Comments

Treasury yield curve inversion and cycle model signal trouble for stock markets

The following chart shows the 10 year US treasury minus the 1 year treasury spread curve in blue. The current yield curve is negative which results in an inverted yield

by Mike Richards

Trading Vision

3 August 20220Comments

Have Stocks & Bond Markets Seen The Lows for This Year?

In short, NO! We’ve seen US Stock Indices rally strongly higher off the Mid June 2022 lows in tandem with US Bonds. The conditions were right for this rally, with liquidity

by Mike Richards

Trading Vision

18 April 20210Comments

Can US Stock Indices Still Go Higher?

US Stock Indices have seen unprecedented gains since the lows back in March 2020. The moves down into those lows from the highs barely one month earlier in February 2020

by Mike Richards

Trading Vision

27 September 20200Comments

Where Next For US Markets?

With the Main US Indices have been effectively range bound since early to mid June we are looking for the next significant directional move. Seasonally August has historically seen pullbacks

by Mike Richards

Trading Vision

9 September 20200Comments

ZOOM (ZM) Trade Follow Up

Following up on the article posted back on 4th August (Everyone's Zooming These Days) I flagged Zoom as a potential buy at $268 with an initial target of $399 we

by Mike Richards

Trading Vision

18 August 20200Comments

The Eye Of the Storm Change Can Be Painful

This article is taking a ‘Bigger Picture” perspective on where we all stand and the direction in which we are heading. The decade of the 2020’s is one where the

by Mike Richards

Trading Vision

10 August 20200Comments

Mind The (Liquidity) GAP

Since early July we have seen every pullback in the US Markets hold above support and then push higher resulting in the upward chop to new highs week after week.

by Mike Richards

Trading Vision

6 August 20200Comments

Are US Markets About to Pullback?

US Markets have been on a tear to the upside since the dramatic drop into the lows seen earlier this year. The technology heavy Nasdaq has exceeded its all time

by Mike Richards

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